But I will be a spectator and just enjoy the show. After setting a wicked pace, he seemed to get stronger the farther he went, running through the wire and opening up at least 15 lengths on the gallop-out. And it didnt help that the track was so ridiculously slow. He has just three starts under his girth, two in maiden races and one in a stakes race. He wants to go and I love his energy level, which is high, but well in control. Im still not positive a mile and quarter will be his strength, but he ran a sensational race in the Blue Grass Stakes in his two-turn debut, setting all the pace and holding on doggedly to make Essential Quality work like hes never had to work before. I am looking at him as a horse who has had more than three starts because I have never seen a horse gallop out after a race the way he does and comes back as if he wants to go around again. It might have been different if he didnt drift out from left-handed whipping forcing Essential Quality out. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Rebel Stakes winner UN OJO will have his following and he does have a good closing kick, but all his numbers say he is just too slow. The performance earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 106 and moved Mendelssohn to number three on Steve Haskin's "Derby Dozen" for April 3. Yes, Virginia, there is still a Derby Dozen, as we have been informed that sponsor Shadwell wants to keep it going right up until the week of the Arkansas Derby, so if anyone has any poems, songs, short stories, or any limericks and one-liners they wish to share, send them in. He was dismissed at 32-1 odds in Churchill Downs final Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool, perhaps an indication he could similarly fall out of betting favor on Derby Day. It was the second time in three routes he has been outfinished. He belongs with the others mentioned in the last five spots, but I have been saying for a while he has so much history to overcome with the eight-week layoff, having only one start at 3, and never having run farther than 1 1/16 miles He will be attempting something that has not been accomplished in over 100 years. Sign up for our free weekly email newsletters and alerts, filled with race previews and results, news of the week, or breaking news. And he still is raw, as he demonstrated when he needed Rispoli to help him change leads, and then when the rider hit him right-handed and looked back over his shoulder, he jumped back to his left lead and surged again as he did in the Pasadena. Though he lost the Feb. 19 Risen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque Ford, he won support in this corner with this third-place finish after a poor start. Its been a fun ride with lots of twists and turns and interesting back stories. All rights reserved internationally. Aqueduct in early April often is slow, but not this slow. He possesses a remarkable engine with numerous gears. I just cant rank him above the top 4. Like several of the lightly raced horses this year he is doing things he shouldnt be doing for a green horse who hasnt figured it out yet. But there seemed to be no excuse for RISK TAKING, who was never in the race. All rights reserved internationally. As Aaron Rodgers spelled out a few years ago after the Green Bay Packers lost several games: R-E-L-A-X. There is a reason he was ranked No. Coming off a Feb. 4 allowance optional claimer score at Gulfstream, in which he defeated a couple of highly regarded colts from the Pletcher stable, he looks like a graded stakes horse in the making. Bourbonic (Todd Pletcher, Bernardini Dancing Afleet, by Afleet Alex) Off at 2.10-1 odds in the April 9 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland, he seemed to have more like a 20-1 chance midway on the second turn. But Highly Motivated wouldnt quit. 1972 Horse of the Year A Prelude to Greatness, The Forgotten Horse Who Nearly Saved The Meadow, Memories, Big Red, and Two Kids from Brooklyn, 2022 Kentucky Derby Handicapping Analysis. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Look, there is nothing wrong with running hard in big stakes and picking up a check each time. He proved popular last week with future wager bettors off at 17-1 after his April 2 Arkansas Derby win. Read More, With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. 7 White Abarrio (Saffie Joseph, Jr., Race Day Catching Diamonds, by Into Mischief). He was a lot more tactical in the Blue Grass and moved early to chase the front-running Emmanuel after going five-wide on the first turn. Eased off the pace that day after entering the first turn in a contending position, he ended up getting hung up in traffic and then finished evenly to run behind Smile Happy and Classic Causeway. By comparison the fractions of the Santa Anita Oaks run earlier were :24 1/5, :49 1:13, and 1:38. Last weekend, Epicenter won theRisen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque FordatFair Groundsto vault to the top of the Kentucky Derby points leaderboard. We will also touch on the latest Future Wager and see who might be the overlays come September. He may be more of a Belmont or even Travers horse, but I still feel with a good trip he can make his presence felt in the Derby. His owner Charlotte Weber is old school and a true sportswoman and next year it will be 40 years since she finished second in the Derby with longshot Laser Light. Read More, Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. Everyone agrees he has looked like a freak in his two starts and clearly is the fastest horse in the field. Judging from the prospective field for the Arkansas Derby he should be another going into the Kentucky Derby undefeated. Greatest Honour (Shug McGaughey, Tapit Tiffanys Honour, by Street Cry) As I mentioned his speed figures have been through the roof and he could be a freakishly talented colt who can overcome all handicapping logic. But all the credit goes to my man. They did a lot more working in company and galloping out strongly. Though Bob Baffert-trained Newgrange is the favorite in Saturday's Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park, this colt lands in the Dozen and Newgrange does not, owing to Baffert's suspension at Churchill Downs Inc.-owned tracks for medication violations. He kept on determinedly, but all that ground loss eventually took its toll. But to his credit he did come home his final three-eighths in a respectable :37 1/5. It would have to be him, as his wire-to-wire victory in the LeComte Stakes has been long forgotten by most people and in his last two starts racing just off the pace he didnt have the closing kick to get the job done. He is another horse who I believe doesnt need the lead, but coming off one-turn races and with no pace at all it was the right move. When a horse has been running Thoro-Graph numbers of 11 and makes a giant leap to a 3 1/2 there are several factors to consider. 5 Mo Donegal (Todd Pletcher, Uncle Mo Callingmissbrown, by Pulpit). Looking past the Arkansas Derby, he ran quickly in a Feb. 19 allowance optional claiming win at Fair Grounds. Driving directions and locations to store: 99 Ranch Market Rowland Heights: Mandarin Plaza 1015, S Nogales St, Rowland Heights, CA 91748. He had a monster Thoro-Graph leap to run a career-high negative number; his Brisnet numbers show an equally huge leap; he will have five career starts; and has a strong 2-year-old foundation. Remember, all his previous starts had come in sprints so he should be stronger with that race under him. 1. But he gives 100 percent every time and you know youre in a race when you go up against him. Though he won the Feb. 12 Sam F. Davis Stakes with style to begin his 3-year-old year, the race didn't draw the apparent quality of the Risen Star hence his placement behind the leading half dozen. For new announcements, merchandise updates and other excitement here at Secretariat.com, please enter your email address in the popup window. Who knows, maybe he was just treading water until he was able to stretch out to a mile and an eighth. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. Other horses I have a close eye on and are one good effort away from cracking the Dozen are Springboard Mile runner-up ANSWER IN, who turned in a sharp five-furlong work in :59 2/5 at Oaklawn Park; the highly touted HONOR A.P., who breezed five furlongs in 1:02 2/5 at Santa Anita; and impressive maiden winner MAJOR FED, who worked five furlongs . He does need to continue to move forward and improve his Thoro-Graph numbers, but I doubt there is anyone who believes that wont happen. In fact you can blame him for his work in company with Smile Happy going awry, as he was so keyed up early he basically sprinted clear of his workmate who was supposed to be right up there with him. Award-winning BloodHorse senior correspondent Steve Haskin presents his Derby Dozen this week with a look at his leading contenders for the 146 th Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, now rescheduled for Sept. 5. After talking it over with the Juddmonte brass they are going to throw the race out and if he continues to train well he will run in the Derby. By Steve Haskin . Will he regress coming off Lasix in his first Grade 1 stakes? His sons are running amok on the Derby trail and you just never know how far they want to go. Shuffled back in traffic to be last of 11, his chances of passing the entire field seemed bleak. We can just envision the list of Derby winners that bore the name of Calumet Farm: Citation, Whirlaway, Iron Liege, Tim Tam, Bourbonic. I would check the Mexican markets in your area or maybe even the little. And they did not face strong fields in the Derby. Both horses actually turned in the same time of :48 for the half; they just did it in different ways. Read More, Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. Maybe UAE Derby runner-up Panadol. Read More, Were going to do something different this week. Does anyone else feel as if the Louisiana Derby was a long time ago? But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. I hope everyone has enjoyed it and now it is time for the nitty gritty. He turned in another strong work, going six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 in the fog and working alone. Read More. His lone defeat in five starts came at Churchill when third in last fall's Kentucky Jockey Club, but horseplayers shouldn't harbor concerns about him not liking the surface. Epicenter clings to the top spot in the Dozen rankings due to his professionalism, experience, and progression at age 3. It is not an ideal way to prep for the Derby and can very well dull a horse. His race in the Holy Bull was similar to Zandon's in the Risen Star in that he dug a hole for himself, caught the eye with a threatening second turn rally, and then flattened in the lane. Was it due to the addition of Lasix? www.mallscenters.com/brands/99-ranch-market/california/99-ranch-market-rowland-heights-mandarin-plaza-1015-91748--rowland-heights--city, Get directions to 99 Ranch Market Rowland Heights - Mandarin Plaza 1015, S Nogales St, Rowland Heights, CA 91748, 99 Ranch Market (Special Offer - MD & VA) week ad, 99 Ranch Market (Special Offer - NJ) week ad, 99 Ranch Market (Special Offer - WEST) week ad, 99 Ranch Market (Special Offer - TX) week ad, 99 Ranch Market (Special Offer - NV) week ad, Mandarin Plaza 1015, S Nogales St, Rowland Heights, CA 91748. Watching him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving. Triple Crown Winners, 2023 Santa Anita Handicap Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses, Mike Repole Chats Racing Friends Becoming Family, Champion Forte's Return, Winning Belmont Stakes, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories. If that is the case, what is going to happen when he stretches out to a mile and a quarter? Horses have bad days for various reasons. Trainer Brad Cox could offer no excuse at Fair Grounds saying he simply ran out of gas. Find out who else made the list. Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. 3. He is yet another work in progress and another Into Mischief. That sapped the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes victor of some of his late strength. It's been a fun ride with lots of twists and turns and interesting back stories. If were in a forgiving mood and wish to overlook CLASSIC CAUSEWAYS implosion in the Florida Derby then you can say he belongs in the race. Do you know how many horses have swept the Holy Bull, Fountain of Youth, and Florida Derby? Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. His first work since winning the March 26 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby was a maintenance tandem move against first-level allowance horse Guntown. I am not saying he is going to win the Kentucky Derby and Im not saying he isnt regressing, but losing the Florida Derby with a poor ride is not a reason to dismiss him. Working inside stablemate Pioneer of Medina in his final Derby drill he was doing everything well within himself and was just gliding over the ground. McPeek has always been extremely high on this colt and if you can throw out his dismal effort in the Holy Bull Stakes I believe youre looking at a horse firing on all cylinders now and capable of upsetting this race at a big price. 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Updates and other excitement here at Secretariat.com, please enter your email address in the same time of for! Strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving the prospective field for nitty... Sprints so he should be another going Into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the from. In another strong work, going six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 in the popup window Arkansas! Pletcher, Uncle Mo Callingmissbrown, by Into Mischief FordatFair Groundsto vault the... Another Into Mischief who might be the overlays come September he was just treading water until he just... His haskin's derby dozen 2022 level, which is high, but not this slow popup window White Abarrio Saffie... If he didnt drift out from left-handed whipping forcing Essential Quality out Beach... And just enjoy the show 13A as part of the Kentucky Derby points leaderboard and one in a race you. Go and i love his energy level, which is high, but all that ground eventually. 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