The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. This Sundays game between the Rams and Vikings will feature the top two receivers in the NFL in receiving yards, each on one end of the twenties spectrum: Cooper Kupp has 1,625 yards at age 28, Justin Jefferson has 1,335 yards at age 22. The 29-year-old found success with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint. . 82 receptions for 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. Wide receivers dont necessarily have to be straight speed demons although it certainly doesnt hurt if theyre blazing fast. The New York Giants are planning to release wide receiver Kenny Golladay after two seasons with the team, . This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range, as thats arguably their prime. Hes put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, and that culminated in an 82.5 coverage grade this past season that ranked sixth among qualifying cornerbacks. Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. If youre looking for a pure runner, there are few players in the league right now that I would take over Chubb. Of the 69 wide receivers to play at age 29, weve watched 11.6 percent of them finish as a top-five fantasy option, the highest mark on the chart, putting the idea that wide receivers fall off at age 28 to bed. We could start with those who were just named to the Pro Bowl: Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, thats eight solid receivers that virtually everyone can agree on. Odell Beckham Jr - Turns 30 on November 5, 2022, Beckham will be a free agent in March. Brown and McLaurin. . He had 1,077 yards when he was 29, but missed three games. Tight Ends. Its easy to get dispirited with Smith-Schuster after the 2019 season, attributing all his struggles in his third season to the fact that Antonio Brown wasnt there to draw away attention. Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. McLaurin entered the NFL landscape last season as an older rookie a third-round pick with limited expectations. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. However, they do need to be quick. When drafting a wide receiver in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Sutton stepped into the No. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! Maybe they went RB-heavy in the first few rounds and want to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver. Johnson then had 1,492 yards the following year, but missed two games. The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. Hilton. Barring a dramatic turnaround in the next two months, Beckham should not be a priority free agent for the Rams or anyone else. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. The gregarious Kelce has established himself as one of the elite tight ends in football over seven seasons. Wilson continues to be one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, making his sixth Pro Bowl last year and ending on the short list of Hall of Fame candidates. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Julio Jones (32), T.Y. Ryan was the 2016 NFL MVP and has been a consistent producer over 12 seasons. Wants to chat with Jack Doyle first, as well. Top-24? As you can see, the prime age for a receiver to finish top-five at his position is at 29 years of age. In dynasty, you should be playing with a three-year window in mind, and if this chart highlights anything, its that hell have another three years of top-24 production. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. If there's one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old . The average NFL career for a wide receiver is a little more than two years. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. @Real10jayy__ is only the 5th rookie WR in the Super Bowl era with 1,000 Rec Yards and 10 Rec TD. Still, from former MVPs and Pro Bowlers to 2021 draftees, the group of players under 25 remains stacked. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. Ill start this out by saying that Alexander has had his fair share of losses at the catch point, which is why his grading has been good but not great thus far, but hes one of the more aggressive and skilled cornerbacks in the NFL when it comes to making plays on the ball. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. He has 81.5 career sacks, including nine sacks along with 63 tackles last season. ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. Probably the greatest wide receiver from 2013-2018 (ages 25-30), Brown averaged 114 receptions, 1,524 yards, and 11 touchdowns per season over those six seasons, all with the Steelers. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. Very little. By doing that, were making it a stronger study, though its important to note that if we included everyone, the numbers would strongly help the older wide receivers who stuck around in the league, but we wanted to make this an even playing field. Here are the links to the study on other positions: Odds & lines subject to change. Jones, who turned 30 in the offseason, has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons and has double-digit sacks in six of the last seven years. Brown, D.K. From the data above on average 96.1 wide receivers per year played in the NFL between the ages of 25-29. No position has seen more growth in the past two decades than wide receiver. However, a completely rational and sane Falcons fan would have said the same thing about Julio Jones after he had 1,677 yards in 2018 and 1,394 yards in 2019. 3. He quickly crushed those expectations, turning into the bonified top option in the Redskins passing attack. He doesn't often Tweet, but when he does, you can find him on Twitter @sethroto. The year prior, of course, he played in 12 games while he was already 40, including seven starts.. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. It gets pretty ugly after the age-32 season, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers. Hes been tested deep a fair amount since 2017, but Jacksons speed means that he rarely gets beaten over the top. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? This time last season, there were still a lot of questions about Jackson as a passer, but he answered some of those in 2019 with an 82.5 PFF passing grade that ranked sixth among qualifiers. Razzball.com and the Razzball logo units are copyright Razzball LLC. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. The catch seen around the world. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Somehow Schwartz has never made a Pro Bowl in his eight NFL seasons, but he still deserves attention as one of the elite offensive linemen in football. When will Rams pick center of the future? From age 28 through 31, we see three of the top four percentages on the chart. His 16 forced missed tackles after the catch were a top-five mark at the position, as well. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. In August 2018, 29-year-old Julio Jones is the best receiver in the NFL. The combined number of age-30 receivers among those 43 names: three. To be as dominant as Nelson has been at his age is a rarity in the NFL. Those five players were between 726 and 967 yards. His return to the field will give the Browns a boost as they look to realize the lofty expectations that they had heading into the 2019 season. 9. He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. Wide receivers are in their prime fantasy years from age-25 through age-32, according to this chart. Whether it is dynasty or redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a fantasy asset is key to staying ahead of the game. Expect him to put up even bigger numbers in Year 3 with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback in Joe Bradys offense. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. Its easy to forget that wide receivers take time to develop after watching guys like A.J. His 80 total pressures in 2019 were the most recorded by a rookie in the PFF era, easily beating out Aldon Smiths previous record of 64 in 2011. After one year in LA, Wagner is looking for his third team in three years, Jalen Carter news shakes NFL Draft plans for all 32 teams, Carter is wanted in connection with a deadly crash in Georgia. Injuries have nagged Watt over the last few years, but he remains elite when he's on the field. The idea is that if you give a 24-year-old and a 31-year-old the same number of targets, we want to know whos more likely to produce (its the 31-year-old). According to the source, the average career length is about 3.3 years for players across the NFL. Again, the game we play doesnt care about whether or not a player is in his prime physical shape, because if it doesnt equal fantasy points, it doesnt matter to you, the fantasy player. Do you expect Justin Jefferson to be capable of starting for the Vikings in 2033, when he will be 35? We see a similar tier among top-24 production as we did in the top-12 tier, though it extends through age-34 on this chart. Players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones (31) and T.Y. For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of 23-26, and 87% take place prior to a player turning 29. If youre in a dynasty league and nobody wants those players, take advantage of that. On passes that were thrown 20 or more yards downfield, Jackson has allowed just 12 of his 48 targets to be completed, with 22 forced incompletions mixed in. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. He made the Pro Bowl in his first eight seasons as a lockdown cornerback who also contributed as a returner. Updated September 08, 2021 By, Kareem Elgazzar / USA Today Sports Images, Douglas DeFelice / USA Today Sports Images, Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images, Vincent Carchietta / USA Today Sports Images, Robert Hanashiro / USA Today Sports Images, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. The third-year receiver is only 24 years old and has shown flashes of being a dangerous weapon. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. For the 2021 NFL season, several position groups namely wide receivers, tight ends, running backs are getting fresh number brackets, meaning number options for an individual player have. He's coming off a season that saw him notch 1,138 yards and six touchdowns. Whats perhaps most interesting is that in addition to the names above, there were also quite a few other disappointments (Corey Davis, Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, DK Metcalf, A.J. Brown, etc. It's clear that wide receivers take some time to develop and have a. Granted, it was the run-heaviest team in the NFL, but Andrews still proved to be a legitimate downfield threat over the middle of the field. He's made five Pro Bowls and been an All-Pro twice, with four consecutive 1,000 yard seasons. Williams has very quietly played like one of the best safeties in the NFL over the last three seasons. In saying nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that 2021 will be the best season of his career. He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017. It would appear age doesnt make a whole lot of difference to wide receivers, though we do see the number ramp up from their age-21 to age-26 season, highlighting when most are at the tail end of their rookie contract. Dez spent his entire 20s with the Cowboys, peaking in 2014 when he was 26-years-old: 88 receptions, 1,320 yards, 16 TD. In fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31. Its tough to get into elite territory, and Im sure many would take WR1 production, right? NAME GP . Relive this Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on #FootballWeekNBCSN. There have been trade talks and speculation surrounding Adams as he awaits a contract extension, but he deserves to get paid. There's another steady arc in potential from age-22 through age-29, similar to the one we saw for the top-five potential. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. His most recent game with 90 or more yards was October 13, 2019. He's entering his age 30 season. Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter future. He's made three consecutive Pro Bowls, finishing last season with a career-high 15.5 sacks at age 30. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. 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